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As it was mentioned in the previous technical analysis of Gold dated 2014.06.10, according to the formed signs, there was a potential for ascending of price which finally happened. Buyers were successful in reaching to the highest price of 1333.332 and the price is above 5-day moving. Currently in long term time frames such as monthly and weekly price is above 5-day moving average that shows a consistent uptrend in long period of time and there is not any clear reason about descending of price in these time frames.
According to the formed movements, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 50 and 200 between the bottom price of 1240.549 and the top price of 1333.332 that warns changing price direction from D point of this pattern. RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the current top price and warns about more descends. Generally according to the current situation in 4H time frame until the top price of 1333.332 is preserved, price will have the potential of descending but according to the potential of ascending in long period of time, the descending of price is temporary and unstable.
EUR/NZD in recent weeks, has been experienced many reformation with a gradual downward trend that Sellers over price decreases obtained the lowest price of 1.54035.Currently in long-term time frames such as monthly ,weekly and daily price is under the 5-day moving average which implies consistent downtrend with potential of further decreases in price during the next candles.As it is obvious in the picture below, price during the descending has touched the Support Level (made of 5 bottom prices) and also the round supportive level of 1.54000 and has created the Inverted hammer candlestick pattern. Closing of the bullish candle after this pattern will confirm it and warns about ascending of price.
As it is obvious in the picture below, there is an AB=CD harmonic pattern between the top price of 1.67810 and the bottom price of 1.54035 with none-ideal ratios of 50 to 161.8 that warns about descending of price from the D point of this pattern. RSI indicator is in saturation sell area in daily time frame and in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the bottom price of 1.54035 warns about changing trend direction. Generally until the bottom price of 1.54035is preserved, price has the potential of ascending.
As it was mentioned in the previous technical analysis of AUD/USD pair dated 2014.04.29, according to the formed signs, there was a potential for ascending of price which finally happened .Buyers were successful in reaching to the highest price of 0.95000.In weekly time frame of this currency pair there is no clear reason for ascending of the price and the price by being under the 5-day moving average and also descending cycle of Stoch indicator warns more descending of next candles .According to the formed price movements, RSI indicator is in saturation buy area and in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the top price of 0.95000 and warns about changing price direction.
Currently one of the important warnings for starting the price downfall is breaking the support level of 0.93281 in daily time frame because As it is obvious in the picture below, there is an AB=CD harmonic pattern between the top price of 0.94551 and the bottom price of 0.933281 with ratios of 50 to 161.8 that warns about ascending of price from the D point of this pattern.
EUR/GBP was in a strong and consistent downtrend during the recent days that sellers were successful in obtaining the lowest price of 0.78879. price with reaching to the supportive level which is shown in the picture below ( made of 2 bottom prices) and the important support level of 161.8 has stopped from more descend ( sellers used this level to exit their trades) and with formation of a bottom price in H4 time frame has prepared a field for ascending of price. Currently in 4H time frame with formation of Morning Star Pattern with 4 stars (the failure of sellers in reaching to the lower prices) price has been stopped from more descending and there is a possibility of formation of a bottom price and finally ascending of the price.
According to the formed movements in the price chart, between the top price of 0.80327 and the bottom price of 0.78879 there is an ideal AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 61.8 and 127.2 that warns about changing price direction and price reformation. Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area and confirms the D point of this pattern by the next cycle and warns about the potential of ascending of the price during the next days. Generally until the price level of 0.78879 is preserved, the price has the potential for ascending and reformation.
EUR/USD during the recent Days could descend without reformation and record the Bottom price of 1.34374.Right now price in long term time frames such as monthly and weekly is under 5-day moving average which shows the downtrend. Currently The Price has passed the Up trendline made of 2 bottom prices and with being under 5-day moving average warns about more descending.
As it is obvious in the picture below, there is an AB=CD harmonic pattern between the bottom price of 1.20496 and the top price of 1.39920 with none- ideal ratios of 50 to 127.2 that warns about descending of price from the D point of this pattern.Stoch indicator in monthly and weekly time frames shows the possibility of descending of the price according to the next cycle.Sellers in midterm outlook try to get the supportive level of 1.34000 and for the next stage, the important level of 1.33500 and these two supportive levels are the possible targets of price downfall.
USD/SGD during the recent week was in a strong and consistent downtrend that Sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 1.05543. Right now price in time frames such as daily and H4 is above 5-day moving average and warns about price increase in medium period of time.Price has been stopped from more descend by reaching to the specified Up Trendline in the picture below and with exit of some Sellers from their trades at the end of 13th and 20th days(Weekly Chart), the Hammer and Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns have been created that shows the sellers retreat for reaching to the lower prices that it(bullish Signal) needs confirming with closing of an ascending candle.
According to the formed price movement, there is Bat harmonic pattern between the top price of 1.28270 and bottom price of 1.23603 that warns about changing price direction from the D point of this pattern.Stoch indicator with the ascending cycle confirms the fourth point of Up trendline and warns about the potential of ascending during the next candles.Generally until the formed bottom price on Up Trendline and D point of Bat harmonic pattern is preserved, there is the possibility of increase and ascend of price .
EUR/SGD was in a strong and consistent downtrend during the recent weeks that sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 1.66176.There is a Doji candlestick pattern in bottom price of 1.66176 that warns the potential for formation of a successful bottom price and Vulnerability of descending trend for sellers. With closing of the next bearish candle, this signal is fixed. According to the formed price movements in the chart, there is a Crab harmonic pattern between the bottom price of 1.65572 and top price of 1.76681 that warns about ascending of the price with completion of this pattern ending point. RSI indicator in daily time frame is in saturation sell area and warns about ascending of price according to the next cycle during the next days.Generally according to the formed signs in price chart, until the bottom price of 1.66176 is preserved, there is a potential for reformation and ascending of the price in this currency pair.
Silver was in a strong and consistent downtrend during the recent Days that sellers were successful in obtaining the lowest price of 20.117.Currently in 4H time frame with formation of hammer candlestick pattern (the failure of sellers in reaching to the lower prices) price has been stopped from more descending and there is a possibility of formation of a bottom price and finally ascending of the price.
As it is obvious in the picture below, between the top price of 21.235 and bottom price of 20.117 there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 50 and 127.2 that warns the potential of ascending from the D point of this pattern.Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area in H4 time frame and in divergence mode with the price chart that warns about changing price direction during the next days. In case of ascending of the price, one of the buyers target will be the Down Trendline(made of 5 top prices ).
EUR/USD in recent weeks, has been experienced many reformation with a gradual Downward trend that Sellers under price decreases obtained the lowest price of 1.32363.Currently in long-term time frames such as monthly / weekly and daily price is under the 5-day moving average which implies consistent downtrend with potential of further decreases in price during the next candles.As it is obvious in the picture below, price during the descending has touched the Support line (made of 3 bottom prices) has created the one bullish candle. Closing another of the bullish candle after this bottom will confirm it and warns about ascending of price.
According to the formed movements in Daily time frame, between the top price of 1.39915 and bottom price of 1.32363 there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 38.2 and 224.2 that by completion of the D point in this pattern, there is warning for ascending of the price. RSI indicator in Daily time frame is in saturation sell area and according to the next cycle confirms the D point of this pattern and warns about the potential of ascending during the next candles( because of not being in the same direction with long term time frame it is not much valid). According to the current condition of price, the first warning for ascending of price is breaking of the resistance level of 1.32959.
Silver was in a descending trend from the top price of 21.559 that could record the bottom price of 19.297. Right now this bottom price is fixed by the next ascending candles and is the next nearest supportive level. If this supportive level breaks , the price will have the potential of reaching to the important supportive level of 18.852.
as it is obvious in the picture below, the price in a Down channel during its descending trend that the Resistance level of this channel prevent it from a rise for several times and each time the price has descended.In daily time frame there is a Inverted hammer candlestick pattern (also a Spinning top pattern) that shows the sellers retreat for reaching to the lower prices that it needs confirming with closing of an ascending candle.In case of ascending of the price, one of the buyers target will be the Down Trendline.
EUR/CHF was in a strong and consistent downtrend during the recent days that sellers were successful in obtaining the lowest price of 1.20490. Right now price is under 5-day moving weekly and daily time frames that show an downtrend during the next candles. With formation of bottom price of 1.20490 (formation of hammer candlestick pattern that shows Vulnerability of downtrend), there is a warning for formation of a successful bottom price and ascending of price in this supportive range. If this bottom price records (closing of ascending candle), this signal will be stronger.
According to the formed movements in price chart, there is Butterfly harmonic pattern between the top price of 1.22490 and the bottom price of 1.20490 that warns about ascending of price from D point. Stoch indicator in daily time frame is in saturation sell area ( also in divergence mode with the price chart ) and by the next cycle it confirms the harmonic D point and warns about the potential for ascending of price during the next candles.Right now the first important warning for more ascending of price in this currency pair happens by breaking the 1.20700 level in daily time frame .Generally until the bottom price of 1.20490 is preserved, the price has the potential for ascending from the harmonic pattern.
USD/CHF had an ascending trend without a noticeable reformation during the recent weeks that shows buyer certainty in reaching to the predetermined targets. The price could record the top price of 0.92109 in Daily time frame which is fixed by descending candle(Shooting Star).In long term time frames such as monthly and weekly price is above 5-day moving average (a consistent uptrend) and there is not any clear reason about descending of price in these time frames.As it is obvious in the picture below, price during the Ascending has touched the round resistance level of 0.92000 and has created the Shooting Star candlestick pattern. Closing of the Bearish candle after this pattern will confirm it and warns about descending of price.
According to the formed movements in daily time frame, between the top price of 0.92109 and bottom price of 0.87026 there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 50 and 200 that by completion of the D point in this pattern, there is warning for descending of the price. As it is obvious in the picture bellow, according to the formed movements, the price is in divergence mode with RSI indicator and confirms the mentioned top price is Daily time frame which generally warns the possibility of changing price direction.
According to the current condition the first warning for descending of price is breaking of the support level of 0.91834.
Gold during the recent week was in a strong and consistent downtrend that sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 1257.196.Right now price in long time frames such as monthly, weekly and daily is under 5-day moving average and warns about price decrease in long period of time.As it is obvious in the picture below, there is a harmonic Gartley pattern between the top price of 1344.976 and the bottom price of 1257.196 that there is a potential for changing price direction from D point ( Morning doji Star Pattern) of this pattern.
RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the current bottom price and warns about ascending of price during the next candles.Generally until the price level of 1257.196 is preserved, price will have the potential for reformation and ascending.
GBP/USD was in strong descending trend from the top price of 1.71905 that during this descending trend the sellers could record the bottom price of 1.60592. Right now price in long time frames such as monthly, weekly and daily is under 5-day moving average and warns about price decrease in long period of time.In Daily time frame the previous day candle was closed as a Doji candlestick pattern that shows the indecision for ascending or descending.
If this candlestick pattern confirms (closing of ascending candle at the end of the day), there will be the potential for changing price direction.Currently according to the condition of this currency pair and its strong downtrend in recent days, price is in saturation sell area and warns about a slight reformation in Daily time frame.The first important warning for starting a reformation in downtrend and rise of the price is breaking of the resistance level of 1.61572 (the highest changing price level on the previous day).
USD/CAD had an ascending trend without a noticeable reformation during the recent days that shows buyer certainty in reaching to the predetermined targets. The price could record the top price of 1.12231 in 4H time frame which is fixed by descending candle.Currently in monthly, weekly and daily time frames price is above 5-day moving average that warns about the potential of ascending of price during long period of time.
As it is obvious in the picture below, between the bottom price of 1.08106 and top price of 1.12231, there is an AB=CD harmonic pattern with non-ideal ratios of 76.4 and 161.8 which warns about descending of the price from the D point(Shooting Star Pattern) of this pattern.As it is obvious in the picture bellow, according to the formed movements, the price is in divergence mode with RSI indicator and confirms the mentioned top price is 4H time frame which generally warns the possibility of changing price direction.Currently the first sign for buyers is breaking of the D point of harmonic pattern in the price chart.
Gold since 2014.07.11 till now was in a strong and consistent Downtrend that Sellers were able to achieve the lowest price level of 1204.700.With cashing of some sellers’ trades (formation of candlestick pattern( Spinning top) in weekly time frame) the price ascends and currently with closing of bullish candle on first day records the bottom price of 1204.700.According to the formed price movements, RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the bottom price of 1204.700 and warns about changing price direction.
As it is obvious in the picture below, according to the formed movements in the chart there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 127.2 between the top price of 1391.622 and bottom price of 1204.700 that warns about ascending of the price by completion of the D point. Also in CD wave of the mentioned pattern, there is another harmonic pattern (butterfly) that warns about the potential of changing price direction from the green area.Generally until the bottom price of 1204.700 is preserved, the price has the potential for ascending from the harmonic patterns.
USD/CAD in recent weeks has a strong ascending trend that shows the serious buyers in reaching to their target prices. The price during this ascending trend could record the top price of 1.12699 that is the most important resistance level in front of price.As it is obvious in the picture below, the price has been stopped by reaching to the resistance line(red line) and is not able to ascend more which is a warning for buyers about changing price direction.
According to the formed movements in the chart, between the bottom price of 1.08101 and the top price of 1.12699, there us AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 61.8 to 161.8 that warns the price descends from the D point of this pattern.Stoch indicator is in saturation buy area follows the top price of 1.12699 and warns the possibility of descending during the next days.(In the H4 time frame). According to this point, this currency pair has experienced the strong ascending trend in the past and also mentioned signs until this top price is preserved, there is the potential for price decrease and reformation in this currency pair.
Silver had a strong and without reformation descending trend during the recent weeks and could record the bottom price of 16.665.Right now this price level is one of the important supportive levels in front of the price. According to the recent strong descending, price is in saturation sell area and there is the potential for ascending and price reformation.
According to the formed movements in the price chart, between the top price of 22.160 and the bottom price of 16.665 there is an none-ideal AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 78.6 and 161.8 that warns about changing price direction and price reformation. RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and confirms the D point of this pattern by the next cycle and warns about the potential of ascending of the price during the next days.Generally until the price level of 16.665 is preserved, the price has the potential for ascending and reformation.
CAD/JPY from 2104.09.19 (formation of Evening star in Daily time frame) is in a strong and without reformation descending trend that could experience a good price decrease. Right now this currency pair could record the bottom price of 96.162 during its descending trend that according to the formation of recent candles, it is not an ideal bottom price for ascending.
As it is obvious in the picture below between the top price of 97.810 and bottom price of 96.162, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 76.4 and 127.2 that warns about the potential for ascending of the price.Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area in H4 time frame that confirms the harmonic D point and warns about changing price direction during the next candles . The first sign for starting a reformation movement and Ascending of the price is breaking the resistance of 96.462.Generally according to the formed signs in price chart until the bottom price of 96.162(R=S) is preserved, price will have the potential for ascending and reformation.
USD/CHF was in a strong and consistent uptrend during the recent weeks that buyers were successful in achieving the highest price of 0.96863. Currently in long-term time frames such as monthly / weekly and daily price is above the 5-day moving average which implies consistent uptrend with potential of further rise in price during the next candles.
The price by reaching to the resistance ascending channel edge has been stopped from more ascend and According to the type of previous week formed descending candles, there is a Dark cloud cover candlestick pattern that warns stopping of ascending trend to the buyers. Stoch indicator in weekly time frame is in saturation buy area and warns about descending of price according to the next cycle during the next weeks. Generally according to the formed signs in price chart, until the top price of 0.96863 is preserved, there is a potential for reformation and descending of the price in this currency pair.
