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Gold price has experienced a severe descending trend and could record the bottom price of 1320.30. This bottom price is fixed by the ascending candles in 4H time frame and is the most important supportive level in front of the price. As it is obvious in the picture below, the price has been stopped and formed a bottom price by reaching to the supportive edge of descending channel during the descending trend.Closing of descending candle of Spinning top pattern type in previous day shows indecision market for ascending or descending and the buyers doubt in reaching to the lower prices.
Also the combination of this pattern with the big descending candle on 15th day will create the Harami candle stick pattern that warns about formation of a bottom price and finally ascending of the price.
Between the top price of 1920.31 and the bottom price of 1320.30, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 that from the D point of this pattern, there is the potential for ascending and price reformation.RSI indicator is in saturation sell area in daily time frame and also confirms the D point of harmonic pattern by the next cycle and warns about the possibility of changing price direction. Generally until the price level of 1320.30 is preserved, the price has the potential for reforming of the descending trend.
As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 08.04.2013, according to the formed signs in the price chart, there was the potential for descending and reformation of the price that finally happened. As it is obvious in the picture below, the price is fluctuating in ascending channel and right now an ascending trend line prevent from more descending of the price. Price has been stopped during the recent descending and could record the bottom price of 1.52143 on supportive trend line which is shown in the picture below.
Right now this bottom price is fixed by an ascending candle and there is hammer candlestick pattern in this bottom price that shows the possibility of formation of a bottom price and then ascending of the price. According to the formed signs in the price chart between the top price of 1.54091 and the bottom price of 1.52143 there is an AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ideal ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 that from the D point of this pattern there will be a warning for changing price direction.
RSE indicator is in saturation sell area and warns about the possibility of ascending of the price according to the next cycle. Generally according to the formed signs, price is able to ascend from the mentioned bottom price and if the sellers succeed in breaking this supportive level, the price will have the potential to descend and reach to another supportive trend line.
As it is obvious in the below price chart, GBP/CHF from the top price of 1.44686 has descended and sellers could record the bottom price of 1.40727 that this supportive level is fixed in daily time frame ( by ascending candles) and acts as a bottom price. Price by reaching to the ascending trend line (made of 2 bottom price) was not able to descend and break it in daily time frame and by creating the hammer candlestick pattern on this line shows recessing of sellers in reaching to the lower price and also the supportive level of 1.40727.
According to the below picture, price by making the third bottom price of ascending trend line has started to ascend and is above 5-day moving average that warns about ascending of price during the next candles. Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with the price chart that warns about changing price direction. Right now the price by reaching to the red descending trend line has stopped from more ascend and generally by breaking this resistance line, first signal for increasing and more ascends of price will be issued.
Silver chart has experienced a strong descending trend during the recent week that could record the bottom price of 22.02. One of the sellers’ targets was the round level of 22.00 that they were successful in reaching to it and the price was not able to descend more by reaching to this level. Right now this price level is one of the important supportive levels in front of the price. According to the recent strong descending, price is in saturation sell area and there is the potential for ascending and price reformation.
According to the formed movements in the price chart, between the top price of 37.47 and the bottom price of 22.02 there is an ideal AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 that warns about changing price direction and price reformation. RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and confirms the D point of this pattern by the next cycle and warns about the potential of ascending of the price during the next days. Generally until the price level of 22.00 is preserved, the price has the potential for ascending and reformation.
As it is obvious in the picture below, price in AUD/NZD currency pair from the end of 2011till now was in a descending channel that Sellers have the price close to the supportive levels’ range of 2009 and 2010. Right now price is closed under 5-day moving average in long term time frames and could record the bottom price of 1.21575 in recent days. If the supportive level of 1.21334 breaks, the price finds the potential for descending up to the round level of 1.20000. Price during descending from the resistance edge of descending channel (top price of 1.26778) has stopped from more descend by reaching to the supportive range and it is fluctuating in green range.RSI indicator is in saturation sell area in daily time frame and according to the next cycle confirms the mentioned bottom price and warns about ascending during the next candles. By breaking the short term descending channel, there is first technical signal for starting the price reformation and ascending trend. Generally if the short term descending channel breaks, until the price level of 1.21575 is preserved, price has the potential for reformation and ascending from the supportive edge of descending channel.
As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 01.04.2013, according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility for ascending of the price which finally happened. Right now the price is in the lowest prices in the recorded history and generally in long term interval according to the bottom price of 1.43759 and other factors, it has a good potential for ascending. Price could record the top price of 1.49373 during this ascending trend and stopped (In 4H time frame with the formation of AB=CD harmonic pattern and completing its D point, the price stopped from more ascends).
AB=CD harmonic pattern in weekly time frame of this currency pair is active yet and effects on the price. Price in weekly and daily time frame is above 5-day moving average and warns about the increasing of the price according to the ascending potential in this currency pair. Currently price at daily time frame has formed Shooting Star candlestick pattern (To notice this candlestick pattern, there is a need to closure of a descending candle) that shows the first warning signals for the formation of a top price. Stoch indicator is in saturation buy area in daily time frame and also confirms the candlestick pattern according to the next cycle and warns about price reformation (due to not being in the same direction with weekly time frame, it is not so valid). By breaking this resistance peak of 1.49373, there will be a signal for more ascends in this currency pair.
CHF/JPY during the recent months and from the bottom price of 78.272 was in a strong and without reformation ascending trend that buyers could record the top price of 107.413. Price stopped by reaching to the important resistance level of 107.115 (related to the date 09.08.2011) and after trying to break this resistance level twice that was unsuccessful, the price created a top price under that level.
Beside the mentioned resistance level, as it is obvious in the picture below the Fibonacci level of 2.00 is also one of the target prices of buyers during the ascending of price and when the price reaches to this level, by cashing the buyers’ trades the price has dropped. According to the formation types of price movements on the chart, there is a descending Butterfly harmonic pattern and by completion of the D point of this pattern, there will be a warning for descending and changing price direction. In Weekly time frame in the previous week, the weekly candle appeared as a Hanging Man candlestick pattern (to notice this candlestick pattern, there is a need to a descending candle as confirmation) that shows the possibility for formation of a top price and ending up the ascending of the price).
RSI indicator is in saturation buy area and it is in divergence mode with the price chart that warns the potential for changing price direction. Generally according to the formed sign in the price chart until the top price of 107.413 is preserved, the price has the potential for descending in this currency pair.
As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 19.04.2013 according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility for ascending of the price which finally happened. During this process, buyers were able to register the highest price of 1.46438 that is one of their target prices for ascending of the price. As it is shown in the picture below, right now the price by reaching to the resistance line of ascending channel has stopped and has created a top price on it which shows cashing of the buyers trades and exit of some of them from the buy trades.
Between the bottom price of 1.39615 and top price of 1.46438, there is a descending AB=CD harmonic pattern, with the ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 that by completion of the ending point of this pattern, there is a warning for price reformation (Due to the rapid growth in CD wave and not completing of it, this pattern is not ideal).In the mentioned resistance level according to the formed movements, there is an ideal Shooting Star candlestick pattern that warns about formation of a top price and descending trend. RSI indicator is in saturation buy area in 4H time frame that confirms the top price of 1.46438 and warns about price reformation. In long term interval, there is the possibility for ascending of the price and the created top prices may be unstable.
CAD/JPY in recent weeks has been in a strong and consistent trend in the price movements which buyers have been successful in reaching to the highest price of 98.763. Currently the mentioned price level is fixed as a peak price, and it is the most important resistance level in front of the price. One of the buyers’ goals for their trades is Fibonacci level of 50 and the resistance edge of the uptrend channel that some buyers have used these levels to exit trades that eventually led to the formation of a peak price on the resistance edge of the uptrend channel.
In weekly time frame RSI indicator is in saturation sell area according to the recent ascending and also according to the formed movements in the price chart, it is in divergence mode with it that warns the potential of changing price direction. In top price of 98.763, there are 3 Shooting Star,Hanging Man, and Engulfing candlestick patterns that All point to the possibility of formation of a top price and the potential for changing price direction. In case of descending, one of the target prices will be 94.491 level. The first important warning to start a price reformation is breaking of the supportive level of 95.798. Generally, according to the signs in the price chart, until the top price of 98.763 is preserved, the price will have the potential for reformation in this currency pair.
As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 18.04.2013 according to the formed signs in this price chart, finally price could ascend from the bottom price of 1.52143. As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair, in long term interval there is a good potential for ascending that the price starts to ascend by making the third bottom price on ascending trend line and the buyers could record the top price of 1.55443. Right now this resistance level in 4H time frame is as a top price and it is the nearest resistance level in front of price. By breaking of this level, the price will have the potential for ascending (according to the potential of ascending in long term interval).
According to the formed movements in the price chart, between the bottom price of 1.48317 and top price of 1.55443 and also from the bottom price of 1.50335 to top price of 1.55443, there are 2 AB=CD harmonic patterns with the ratios of 50 and 161.8 that by completion of the D point, there will be the possibility of price reformation in this currency pair. In daily time frame there is Shooting Star candle stick pattern which shows cashing of the buyers trades and the potential for formation of a top price. If today daily candle closes in a descending trend, it confirms this pattern. By breaking of the supportive level of 1.54660, there will be the first signal for descending of the price and price reformation in this currency pair.
AUD/USD during the recent weeks was in an ascending trend that buyers were successful in reaching to the highest price of 1.03839. The price has stopped from more ascend by reaching to the resistance edge of uptrend channel and a top price was created on the resistance line by the buyers retreat. Right now the price level of 1.03839 is known as a peak price by closing of the descending candle. As it is obvious in the picture below, between the bottom price of 1.02195 and the top price of 1.03839, there is an ideal AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 61.8 and 16.8 that warns about the potential for a price downfall from the D point.
RSI indicator in 4H time frame is in saturation buy area of the D point confirms AB=CD harmonic pattern and make the potential for a price downfall possible. If the downfall continues, the supportive levels of 1.03374 and 1.03278 will be the target prices. According to the ascending potential in weekly time frame, price reformation of 4H time frame is not stable and by breaking the resistance level of 1.03839, the descending signal for 4H time frame will be invalid.
USD/CHF on 24.04.2013 by reaching to the descending trend line has been stopped from more ascend and finally by creating a top price descended. Sellers during the recent descending were successful in reaching to the bottom price of0.92465. As it is obvious in the picture below, the sellers were not able to descend more by reaching to the ascending trend line (a place to cash their trades) that cause formation of the third point on ascending trend line and now this bottom price is fixed by ascending trend candles. RSI indicator in 4H time frame is in saturation sell area that confirms the third point of ascending trend line ( also in 1H time frame it is in divergence mode with the price chart) and warns the potential for ascending of the price.
One of the current target prices is the resistance level of 0.93116 and by breaking of it; there will be more potential for ascending in this currency pair (moving toward the descending trend line). Until the third point of ascending trend line is preserved, there will be the potential for ascending of the price. In daily time frame of this currency pair, price is under 5-day moving average and there is not any clear reason for ascending of the price. If the bottom price of 0.92465 succumbs, the price will find the potential for reaching to the next supportive level of 0.92055.
GBP/ NZD form 2000 till now was in a strong and coherent descending trend that sellers strictly followed their descending price targets. Price during the recent downtrend was able to record the bottom price of 1.76933 and it is fixed by the ascending candles. The mentioned bottom price is the lowest price in the history of this currency pair and generally the price is in a saturation sell area. In monthly time frame of this currency pair, there is a hammer candle stick pattern that warns about the potential for formation of a bottom price and ascending of the price for buyers. According to the formed movements in the price chart, between the top price of 2.25137 and the bottom price of 1.76933 there is an AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 127.2 that by completing the ending point of this pattern, there will be a warning for ascending trend.
As it is obvious in the picture below, the price reacts by coming across the supportive line and prepared a field for price reformation by creating the bottom price of 1.76933. RSI indicator in weekly time frame is in saturation sell area (also in divergence mode with the price chart) that confirms the mentioned bottom price by the next cycle and warns about the potential of changing price direction. Breaking the resistance level of 1.83843 is a good warning for ascending of the price. Generally according to the formed signs in this price chart, until the bottom price of 1.76933 is preserved, there will be the potential for ascending and price reformation in this currency pair.
As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 02.05.2013, according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility of price ascending which finally happened. Price has been stopped from more ascending during this ascend by approaching to the resistance Fibonacci level of 61.8 (where the buyers’ trades will cash) and by forming a top price under it , was finally forced to descend. The price by a little descending went toward the ascending trend line and by creating a bottom price prepared the field for another ascending. Right now in daily time frame, price is above 5-day moving average and is ascending and going toward the resistance line.
Stoch indicator in daily and weekly time frames confirms the bottom price of 0.92465 and according to the next cycle warns about the potential of ascending during the next candles. If the price ascends, the buyers’ targets will be resistance level of 0.93980 and in the next step the descending trend line. Breaking the important supportive level of 0.93000 is an important warning for the failure of the buyers in reaching to their target prices and continuing the ascending trend.
GBP/JPY from the middle of 2012 till now was in a strong ascending trend and it was in saturation sell area (in long term intervals). Right now the buyers during the recent ascending trend were successful in reaching to the highest price of 154.739 and this mentioned resistance level is the most important resistance level in front of the price that by closing of daily candle as a descending candle the price level of 154.739 will be recorded as a peak price. As it is obvious in the picture below, the price has been stopped from more descending by reaching to the supportive level of 153.790 ( alterant level from resistant to support) and by creating a bottom price in this saturation area starts to ascend which shows the potential for ascending in this currency pair.
According to the formed movements in the price chart, between the bottom price of 137.836 and the top price of 154.739 there is an ideal butterfly harmonic pattern that by completion of the D point, there will be the possibility for changing price direction in this currency pair. RSI indicator is in divergence mode with the price chart (if the price level of 154.739 confirms as a peak price) and warns about the potential for price reformation and changing price direction. The first sign for starting a reformation movement and descending of the price is breaking the alterantlevel of 153.790. Generally until the price level of 154.739 is preserved, the price has the potential for descending and price reformation in this currency pair.
As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 01.05.2013, according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility of a price downfall which finally happened. Sellers could reach to the lowest price of 1.01529 which is recorded as a bottom price and warns the potential for ascending of the price. During this price downfall, the price has been stopped from more descending by reaching to the area of important supportive levels made of 3 bottom prices date back to 2012.
According to the formed movements in 4H time frame, between the top price of 1.03840 and bottom price of 1.03840 there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 that by completion of the D point in this pattern, there is warning for ascending of the price. Stoch indicator in 4H time frame is in saturation sell area and according to the next cycle confirms the D point of this pattern and warns about the potential of ascending during the next candles( because of not being in the same direction with long term time frame it is not much valid).
In daily time frame, the price by making a peak price under a descending trend line starts to fall and right now it is under 5-day moving average. It also warns about the potential for descending of the price, so the ascending signals are less in 4H time frame and if the mentioned supportive level breaks, the field for more descend in this currency pair will be prepared. Until the supportive range is preserved, the price will have the potential for ascending.
As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 19.04.2013, according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility of price ascending which finally happened.Buyers could reach to the highest price of 1.46562 which is recorded as a peak price. As it is obvious in the picture below, price has been stopped by reaching to the descending trend line made of 4 peak prices and also resistance edge of uptrend channel and by creating a top price it has descended.
According to the formed movements in daily chart of this currency pair, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 between bottom price of 1.39621 and the top price of 1.46562 that by completion of the D point in this pattern, there is warning for descending of the price and changing price direction. Right now the first warning for descending of the price (in the same direction with harmonic pattern’s signal) is breaking of the supportive level of 1.45073.
According to this point in long term interval, there is a potential for ascending of the price in this currency pair. Sell signals in midterm time frames are temporary and risky. By breaking of the descending trend line and technical AB=CD pattern, there is a warning for more ascend in this currency pair.
USD/CAD to the recent price rise, by reaching to the downtrend line specified in the picture below is disable to ascend more and by creating a top price below that started to decline and has fallen. The mentioned down trend line is one of the important resistance levels on long term price range. The sellers were successful in reaching to the lowest price of 1.00122. Price has been stopped from more descend during a downfall by reaching to the uptrend line (consisting of two bottom prices) and Fibonacci support level of 127.2 that shows exit of sellers and their use of these levels for their trades’ purposes . This price level is recorded as a bottom price by an uptrend candle and it prepares the field for the possible ascending of the price during the next days.
According to the formed movements in the chart, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 between top price of 1.03392 and the bottom price of 1.00122 that warns about the potential of ascending from the endpoint of this pattern. Stoch indicator in daily time frame is in saturation sell area and also it is in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the created bottom price on the uptrend line and warns about the potential of changing price direction. Generally according to the mentioned signs, until the bottom price of 1.00122 is preserved, the price will have the potential for increasing.
USD /JPY pair from the end of 2012 till now was in a strong and without reformation uptrend that shows buyers determination to achieve predetermined targets. Price during the recent uptrend was able to record the highest price of 102.135 which is possible to convert to a top price in 4H time frame. Some buyers at the end of the previous week tried to cash their trades by approaching to the round resistance level of 102.000 that caused the formation of Shooting Star candlestick pattern under this important resistance level. The mentioned pattern warns about the potential for formation of a top price and the failure of buyers in reaching to the higher prices that for the confirmation it needs closing of a descending candle.
As it is obvious in the picture below,there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 between the bottom price of 95.801 and the top price of 102.135 that warns changing price direction from D point. RSI indicator is in saturation buy area and confirms the harmonic D point and potential for descending of the price. One of the important warnings for descending of the price is formation of the candlestick pattern in daily time frame or closing of a descending candle which prepares the field for descending of the price.
