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As it was mentioned in previous analysis of this currency pair dated 03.06.2013, according to the formed signs in the price chart, there was a potential for ascending of price to the specified resistance levels which finally happened and it touched those specified targets. Because of sell pressure and strong downtrend, ascending of price was not stable and sellers could achieve the lowest price of 0.78191. Currently price in long term time frames such as monthly and weekly is under 5-day moving average and warns more descending in long term interval.
As it is obvious in the picture below, right now price during the downtrend has reached to the ascending trend line (made of 3 bottom prices) and if this supportive line breaks, price will have the potential of reaching to the important supportive level of 0.77300. According to the formed price movements in daily time frame, there is a butterfly harmonic pattern between the top price of 0.86738 and the recent descending that by completing the D point of this pattern (formation of an ascending candlestick pattern or a bullish candle); there is a warning about stopping of descending of the price. There is no clear sign for ascending of the price and the least sign for price reformation and increasing of the price is formation of a bottom price in 4H time frame.
AUD/USD since 11.04.2013 had a strong and without reformation downtrend, that sellers during this downtrend were successful in achieving the lowest price of 0.93248.Price by reaching to the supportive level (alterant) and expansion Fibonacci range of 261.8 (ABC pattern) stopped from more descend and with forming a bottom price prepared a field for ascending. There is an AB=CD harmonic pattern with the ratios of 61.8 and 127.2 between the top price of 0.97909 and the bottom price of 0.93248 that prepared a field for ascending.
Currently the mentioned bottom price is recorded in daily time frame and with formation of the hammer candlestick pattern that shows sellers failure in achieving the lower price warns about changing trend direction. RSI indicator is in saturation sell area in daily time frame and in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the bottom price of 0.93248warns about changing trend direction. Generally until the supportive level of 0.93248 is preserved , the price will have the potential for reformation of descending trend and reaching to the weekly pivot 1 resistance level.
GBP/USD from the bottom price of 1.50049 till now was in strong and consistent uptrend that buyers could achieve the highest price level of 1.56994.currently the price in weekly and daily time frame is above 5-day moving average and warns the potential of ascending in long period of time in this currency pair. Price by reaching to the round resistance level of 1.57000 and the resistance edge of uptrend channel has stopped from more ascend that shows buyers used this price level to exit their trades. Formation of Shooting Star and Hanging Man candlestick patterns with thin body in green area shows indecision market and vulnerability of ascending trend.
According to the formed price movements, RSI indicator is in saturation buy area and in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the top price of 1.56994 and warns about changing price direction. One of the important signs for descending is breaking of ascending trend line (made of 3 bottom prices). Generally according to the current situation in 4H time frame until the top price of 1.56994 is preserved, price will have the potential of descending but according to the potential of ascending in long period of time, the descending of price is temporary and unstable.
USD/CHF from the top price of 0.98380 till now was in a downtrend that sellers were able to achieve the lowest price of 0.91308. As it is obvious in the picture below, price with formation of AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 has prepared the field for descending of the price from top price of 0.98380 that finally happened. Currently price with teaching to the ascending trend line ( made of 2 bottom prices) has been stopped from more descend and with forming of the Spinning Top candlestick pattern on yesterday, warns the possibility of formation of a bottom price which need the confirmation by the next bullish candle.
Formation of the lower long shadow in the last day candle shows the failure of sellers in reaching to the lower prices. Stoch indicator is in saturation buy area and in divergence mode with the price chart in daily time frame that confirms the price level of 0.91308 and warns changing price direction during the next candles. The first warning for ascending of price is breaking of the resistance level (the yesterday highest price change) 0.92577. Generally according to the current situation of the price chart in daily time frame until the third point of ascending trend line is preserved, the price will have the potential to ascend and pass the mentioned bottom price.
As it was obvious in the previous technical analysis of this currency pair dated 16.05.2013 , according to the formed signs in price chart, the price has the potential of descending which finally happened. CHFJPY during the uptrend since 2012 with approaching to the highest historical level in the price chart has been stopped from more ascend and with formation of a top price and recording of it in weekly time frame warns the potential of reformation of the price in long period of time.Currently on monthly time frame in the previous candle , price has formed Spinning Top candle stick pattern that is the possible vulnerability of ascending trend on long period of time and also in weekly and daily time frames price is under 5-day moving average and warns about more descending during the next candles.
Sellers during the recent descending were successful in achieving the lowest price of 101.799. As it is obvious in the picture below, price with reaching to the supportive edge of downtrend channel also alterant level range has been stopped from more descend and by forming a bottom price of 101.799 has prepared the field for ascending of price. In 4H time frame in green range, price has formed Evening Star candlestick pattern which is in the same direction with RSI indicator’s signal that warns about ascending of price during the next candle in midterm intervals. The first warning in this currency pair for descending of price (in the same direction of long term time frames) is breaking of the supportive level of 101.799.
As it was mentioned in the previous technical analysis of this currency pair, according to the formed signs in the price chart, there is the potential of formation of a butterfly harmonic pattern which finally happened and price has ascend to the level of 0.81364. price in daily time frame created hammer candle stick pattern in bottom price of 0.77622 and has provided ascending of price and stop loss of price.
In weekly time frame, price with creating four points on ascending trend line warns stopping of price downfall against monthly time frame. stoch indicator is in saturation sell area confirms the mentioned bottom price and warns the potential of ascending of price according to the next cycle. Currently sellers were successful in descending of price in midterm interval and the first sign for buyers with formation of a bottom price and recording of it in 4H time frame is breaking of 0.80105 level that provide ascending of price in the same direction of butterfly harmonic pattern signal.
AUD/JPY with formation of the top price of 105.349 has started to descend and sellers were successful in achieving the lower price of 88.897.Currently price in monthly, weekly and daily time frames is under 5-day moving average that shows a consistent descending trend with the potential of more downfalls in long period of time. Price during the downtrend with reaching to the ascending trend line (made of 2 bottom prices) and also alterant levels’ range has stopped from more downfalls and with formation of Inverted Hammer and Hammer candlestick patterns shows the vulnerability of the downtrend.
Stopping of price at mentioned Support levels indicates some sellers use them to exit their trades.Currently due to the recent heavy decline, RSI indicator is in saturation sell area that warns about formation of a bottom price in this area. The first warning for price reformation and beginning of an ascend is breaking of the resistance level of 90.704. Currently according to unclear signs for ascending of price in long term time frames, if the supportive level of 88.897 breaks, price will have the potential for descending to the important supportive level of 88.000.
AUD/CAD since 11.04.2013 was in strong and consistent downtrend that sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price level of 0.94740. On 20th day price with reaching to the round supportive level of 0.95000 and also the alterant level (made of two peak prices) has been stopped form more descend and with formation of hammer candlestick pattern warns about formation of a bottom price. Formation of long lower shadow at the end of 20th day shows sellers failure in reaching to the lower prices.
In daily time frame with closing of bullish candle at the end of 21st day and its combination with two previous candles has made an important Morning Star candlestick pattern which warns about formation of a successful bottom price and ascending of price during the next candles. With this downtrend, RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with the price chart that warns changing price direction. Generally according to the formed signs in the chart, until the bottom price of 0.94740 is preserved, price has the potential to ascend.
As it was mentioned in technical analysis of this currency pair dated 12.06.2013 , according to the formed signs, price had the potential for ascending to the specified resistance level which finally happened. Price after touching the target price starts to descend and sellers were successful in reaching the lowest price of 0.91457. With formation of Inverted Hammer candlestick pattern at the end of 21st day, there is a warning for Vulnerability of downtrend and formation of a bottom price that with closing of a bullish candle in the next day it will be recorded.
Currently RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with price chart that confirms the bottom price of 0.91457 and warns changing price direction during the next candles. In daily time frame between the top price of 0.97928 and the bottom price of 0.91457, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 127.2 that with completion of the D point there will be a warning for ascending of price. Generally according to the formed signs until the bottom price of 0.91457 is preserved, price will have the potential of increasing.
USD/CAD during the recent week was in a strong and consistent uptrend that buyers were successful in achieving the highest price of 1.05543. Right now price in long time frames such as monthly, weekly and daily is above 5-day moving average and warns about price increase in long period of time. Price has been stopped from more ascend by reaching to the specified resistance levels in the picture below and with exit of some buyers from their trades at the end of 24th and 25th days, the Shooting Star and Spinning Top candlestick patterns have been created. These candles shows vulnerability and indecision market in ascending or descending of price that for confirmation it needs closing of a bearish candle.
According to the formed price movements in the chart, between the bottom price of 0.98093 and top price of 1.05543,there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 (also at CD wave there us another pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 127.2) that with completion of the D point there will be a warning for descending of price. Stoch indicator is in saturation buy area in daily time frame that warns the potential of formation of a top price and a little price reformation in this range. One of the important warnings for decreasing of is breaking of supportive level of 1.45059 (Low level of price changes in the previous daily candle).
NZD/USD was in a downtrend that sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 0.76821. Price has been stopped from more descending by reaching to the specified supportive levels made of one alterant level (with two resistance level) in the picture below, also the blue supportive level and with indecision market and sellers’ retreat, price was successful to ascend. Right now price in daily time frame price is above 5-day moving average and warns the potential of ascending of price during the next candles.
Formation and repeating the Spinning Top candlestick pattern on 21st, 24th and 25th days shows indecision market in ascending or descending and vulnerability of downtrend which prepare the field for formation of a bottom price. In daily time frame Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area and with the next cycle warns about the ascending of price from the bottom price of 0.76821. Generally according to the formed signs in the price chart until the mentioned bottom price is preserved, price has the potential for ascending at least to the resistance level of 0.79500 or descending trend line.
Gold chart since last year was in strong and consistent downtrend that sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 1180.41. Price has been stopped from more descending with reaching to the supportive edge of Andrew’s Pitchfork technical pattern and also the supportive round level of 1200.00(sellers use this lever to exit their trades) and starts to ascend. Right now in long term time frames such as monthly and weekly, price is closed under 5-day moving average that shows a consistent downtrend and more descending in long period of time.
According to the formed movement price in the chart, there is a butterfly harmonic pattern between the top price of 1487.68 and bottom price of 1180.41 that with completion of the D point (formation of reversal candlestick pattern or bullish candle) there is a warning for price reformation. Stoch indicator in daily time frame (also in 4H time frame) is in saturation sell area and with the next cycle warns about ascending of price during the next candles. According to the current selling in the Gold price, there is not any clear sign for ascending of the price and the least sign for stopping of decreasing of price in daily time frame is formation of a bottom price (D point) and recording of it. If the level of 1180.41 breaks, price will have the potential for descending to the round supportive level of 1100.00.
Price since the end of 2012 till now was in strong and consistent downtrend with a little price reformation and sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 18.22. Right now price is under 5-day moving average in long term time frames like monthly and weekly. And warns about the potential of more descend. According to the recent downtrend price is in saturation sell area and there is a potential for price reformation. Price has formed a bottom price with reaching to the specified supportive levels in the picture below and it has stopped from more descend and has started a little ascend with shows exit of some sellers from their trades.
In weekly time frame with formation of hammer candlestick pattern in previous candle, there is a warning for formation of a bottom price (need to be recorded) and vulnerability of downtrend. RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with the price chart in daily time frame that confirms the bottom price of 18.22 and warns about changing price direction. Currently the first important warning for ascending of price is breaking of the resistance level of 20.10. Generally until the mentioned bottom price is preserved, there is the potential for downtrend reformation.
As it was obvious in the previous technical analysis of this currency pair dated 13.06.2013 , according to the formed signs in price chart, the price had the potential of descending which finally happened. Sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 1.51635 during this downtrend. Right now price is under 5-day moving average in long term time frames like monthly, weekly and daily. Price, during the downtrend, has been stopped from more descending with reaching to the specified supportive levels in the picture below and with creating the Spinning Top candle stick pattern in daily time frame, it shows the vulnerability and indecision market in ascending or descending that with closing of ascending candle at the end of today, this signal in forming a bottom price will be submitted.
Stoch indicator in daily time frame is in saturation sell area and with the next cycle warns the potential for ascending of price during the next candles. Currently the first important warning for ascending of price is breaking of the resistance level of 1.52472 (the previous day highest price) and also the descending trend line (made of 3 peak prices). Generally until the price level of 1.51635 is preserved, price has the potential to ascend and reform the downtrend.
As we told in last GBP/JPY analysis , according to down trend signs figure showed , Price has a potential to act as a bear trend and acted. Sellers catch lowest price 146.917 through this trend. Price touched inverse line and support area , so configure a stable support zone and shown some signs to act as bullish. As shown in figure , price trapped in bullish channel and after breaking Support line that touched 5 times already , there will be a clear alarm to change trend to bearish.
Already a Gartley harmonic pattern figured that with completing D spot , Alarms will be ringing for bearish trends. Stoch indicator is also approved this D spot with locating in buy saturating zone and alarmed bearish trend in further candles.Based on current chart , there is a probability for bearish candles , First notice for starting Bullish trend will be came out after punching D spot in 153.006 level.
As it was mentioned in the previous technical analysis of this currency pair, according to the signs in the price chart, there was the potential for descending of price which finally happened. Sellers were successful in achieving the lowest level of 12.962. Currently in monthly, weekly and daily time frames price is above 5-day moving average and warns about the potential of ascending in long period of time. As it is obvious in the picture below, price with formation bottom price of 124.962 has prepared the field for ascending of price and with closing of yesterday bullish candle, the bottom price of 128.576 and ascending mode was recorded.
Currently according to the technical signs in weekly and daily time frames, there is not any clear reason for descending of the price and the firs warning for decreasing of price is formation of reversal candle or bearish candle in 4H time frame. According to the current price condition, if the top price of 131.000 breaks, there will be the potential for more ascending and reaching to the pivot resistance level of 132.400.
EUR/USD from the middle of previous month till now was in strong and without reformation downtrend that sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price level of 1.27538. Right now in long term time frames there is not any clear reason for increasing of the price and price with being under 5-day moving average in monthly, weekly and daily time frames warns about decreasing of price during the next candles. Currently price has reached to the supportive levels’ range (made of 2 bottom prices) during the price downfall that with exit of some sellers from their trades, price was a little decreased.
With formation of bottom price of 1.27538 (formation of hammer candle stick pattern and star pattern that shows Vulnerability of downtrend), there is a warning for formation of a successful bottom price and ascending of price in this supportive range. If this bottom price records (closing of ascending candle), this signal will be stronger. RSI indicator is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with the price chart confirms the mentioned bottom price and warns about changing price direction. Generally according to the current situation, if the bottom price of 1.27538 records, the price will have the potential in reaching to the weekly pivot.
As it was mentioned in the previous technical analysis of Gold chart dated 28.06.2013, according to the formed signs, there was the potential for ascending of price which finally happened. Buyers (notice of buyers to the round level of 1300.00 as target price) were successful in achieving the highest price of 1298.48. Right now price is over 5-day moving average in daily and 4H time frames and warns about more ascend.
With formation of Inverted Hammer candlestick pattern in weekly time frame, there is a warning for Vulnerability of downtrend and formation of a bottom price. In case of closure of bullish candleat the end of this week, Morning Star candlestick pattern will be created on the chart which is an important warning for changing price direction. Indicator RSI is in saturation sell area which confirms the created bottom price and warns about increasing of price. Generally according to the current situation until the bottom price of 1180.41 (D harmonic point) is preserved m there is a potential for ascending and increasing of the price in long period of time.
EUR/AUD since 03.04.2013 was in strong and consistent uptrend with small price reformations. Buyers during this uptrend were successful in achieving the highest price of 1.44025, And with reaching to the resistance levels made of 2 top prices ( in 2011) have tested these levels and were not able to reach to higher levels so the price has stopped from more ascending. As it is obvious in the picture below, between the bottom price of 1.16020 and top price of 1.44025 , there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 that with completion of the D point , there is a warning for stopping of uptrend and changing price direction.
According to the type of formed candles like Hanging Man and Engulfing candlestick patterns in green color area warns about Vulnerability of uptrend and formation of a top price and decreasing of the price. Stoch indicator in weekly time frame is in saturation buy area and with the next cycle warns about the potential of changing price direction during the next weeks. Currently the first warning for decreasing of price is breaking of the supportive level of 1.42299. Generally until the D point in weekly time frame is preserved, there is a potential for price reformation and descending.
EUR/GBP in recent weeks, has been experienced many reformation with a gradual upward trend that Buyers over price increases obtained the highest price of 0.86953. Currently in long-term time frames such as monthly / weekly and daily price is above the 5-day moving average which implies consistent uptrend with potential of further rise in price during the next candles.
As it is shown in the picture below, price has been stopped from ascending during the uptrend from D harmonic pattern point (warning for increasing of price in the previous analysis of 06.09.2012 ), and with reaching to the descending trend line, it is ready to test it again. Currently there is not any clear reason for descending of price in long period of time and the first warning for descending of price is formation of a top price and confirming of it in weekly time frame. If the descending trend line breaks, there is a warning for ascending of price and reaching to the resistance level of 0.88189.
