Разметки по различным инструментам

[MDunleavy]

Графики P&F по различным валютным парам и некоторым другим инструментам.Ячейчка помеченная другим цветом, последние варианты графиков по указанному финансовому инструменту. Файл Excel самого графика можно скачать переходя по ссылкам.
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https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1k-LK7SJO6d2Ep1R9z2ln5_GA5rSGeqp6dp2xIgiZ-1c

 

[MDunleavy]

Нефть, как известно, основное сырьё в мире. Поэтому независимо от торговли другими инструментами на нефтяные цены нужно периодически посматривать. Не читая ничьи обзоры склоняюсь к мысли, что будет некоторое коррекционное падение. Как и раньше за основу взят фьючерс (NYMEX: QM) из-за удобства добычи котировок.

Обзор с большими картинками здесь.
~~~>docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8MjZhMjY4ZjAtZTA3Yi00MTZmLWJhZTQtN2ExODI3NGUxYzQz&sort=name&layout=list&num=50
Это документ GOOGLE он обновляющийся, там можно найти и прошлые версии есть в настройках. Вообще хорошая штука документы GOOGLE, рекомендую, а главное бесплатно.

Это же на "ЖАБЕ", тот же PDF file.
~~~>img38.imageshack.us/img38/6217/11nov26.pdf

Почему я пришёл к такому выводу? Было три мощных движения вверх , как правило четвёртого не бывает. Значит должен быть откат вниз. Промежуточную линию фибо 23,8% пробило. Значит как минимум будет движение к 38,2% и даже к отметке 50,0%

Вот такой взгляд на нефть на ближайшее время.

 

[MDunleavy]

В течение недели нефть наоборот стремилась как-то преодолеть мощную линию сопротивления.Даже если у цены ( допустим это живой организм ) есть намерения уйти к максимумам в районе 115 долларов за бочку , всё равно должен быть откат в район ну хотя бы 95 долларов....
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CL had a positive day for the Friday session as traders continue to buy commodities in general. The market looks like it wants to attempt a breakout above the recent highs of $103 and if it does – this could be the beginning of the next massive leg up in the market. However, we expect the area to actually be more resistance than the market is ready to go up against at the moment. We are buyers, but will need to see a pullback first.
[meta4forexbroker]

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1k-LK7SJO6d2Ep1R9z2ln5_GA5rSGeqp6dp2xIgiZ-1c#id.6dku2saylq6t

 

[MDunleavy]

Золото штурмует очень стойко держащуюся в настоящее время линию сопротивления. Если посмотреть на график (полноразмерную картинку не фрагмент), то в клетке 1708 цена побывала около 20 раз ( брались часовые котировки). Такая настойчивость свидетельствует о "серьёзных намерениях" , либо пробой либо отскок. В связи с тем, что цена опустилась к диагональной линии тренда (обозначена +++++++), рассчитываю всё же на пробой..
...In the bigger picture, there is still no clear sign of long term trend reversal yet and price actions from 1923.7 would still be finally unfolded as correction/consolidation only. Though, the consolidation pattern would likely extend below 1923.7 for a while and rally attempt should face strong resistance near to this level. We'd anticipate another falling leg before such consolidation completes. And in such case, downside should be contained by 1478.3/1577.4 support zone...[by oilngold]

Learn more :
~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Dec10.html
^^^ORvvv
~~~>img690.imageshack.us/img690/4721/11dec10.pdf
A t t a c h m e n t:

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.x7mxdqofo4yv

 

[MDunleavy]

Золото действительно понизилось в цене. Но думаю дальнейшего снижения не будет. Можно начинать готовиться открывать длинные позиции. Возможно эта неделя пройдёт в консолидации. Далее рассчитываю на рост цены где-то в район 1673 долларов за унцию.
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Gold dropped to as low as 1562.5 last week before forming a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations. But recovery should be limited below 1667.1 support turned resistance and bring another fall. Below 1562.5 will target 1535 key support and below...[by oilngold]

Learn more:

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

 

[MDunleavy]

Полагаю импульс пары доллар\франк в сторону роста ещё не исчерпал себя. Рождественские праздники несколько могут замедлить темпы, однако я полагаю, что тестирование паритета возможно.
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USD/CHF: The recent break above the critical October highs at 0.9315 is significant and now opens the door for the next major upside extension over the coming weeks back towards parity. A confirmed higher low is now in place by 0.9065 following the recent break over 0.9330, and next key resistance comes in by 0.9785. Ultimately, only back under 0.9065 would delay constructive outlook.[by dailyfx]

Learn more :
~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Dec25.html
^^^ORvvv
~~~>img521.imageshack.us/img521/929/11dec25.pdf
^^^ORvvv
A t t a c h m e n t

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YjZlZjI0NDktNmYyZS00Yjk2LWJhOTMtY2Y4ZWIwYzgzMjEz&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

 

[MDunleavy]

По-прежнему надежды на дальнейший рост доллара. Пока после Нового Года активность низкая. Но скорее всего к середине января картина прояснится.
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USD/CHF: The recent break above the critical October highs at 0.9315 is significant and now opens the door for the next major upside extension over the coming weeks back towards parity. A confirmed higher low is now in place by 0.9065 following the recent break over 0.9330, and next key resistance comes in by 0.9785. Ultimately, only back under 0.9065 would delay constructive outlook.[By dailyfx]

CLICK HERE for detail information...

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

 

[MDunleavy]

После консолидации и тестирования сопротивления в районе 1,2800-1,2850 возможно дальнейшее снижение к 1,2300.Фундаментальные факторы могут повлечь развитие такого сценария.
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By FXEmpire.com – The EUR/USD pair was able to record some gains on Monday after the flow of upbeat fundamentals from the euro-area region, and also after Germany was able to sell bonds on a negative yield; however, after the European Central Bank announcement, which explained that European Banks’ overnight deposits at the ECB climbed again to all-time record, the pair surrendered some of the gains on fears an interbank lending freeze could hurt the financial sector and the region’s economy.

Learn more :
~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/12Jan08.html
^^^ORvvv
~~~>fforeman.byethost17.com/12Jan08.html
^^^ORvvv

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZDVmNTliNTUtMjcyNC00ZDg5LWI3YjYtOTcxYzYwYWY0ZTUw&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

A t t a c h m e n t (1)^^^ORvvv(2)

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.dlcmsqbsh50f

 

[MDunleavy]

Цена пробовала опуститься ниже, но линия поддержки устояла. Думаю, что дно ещё не достигнуто и повторные попытки "штурма" ещё будут. Об этом свидетельствует масса факторов в том числе и фигуры ( ну паттерны ) из крестиков-ноликов.
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EUR/USD rose during the Thursday session as traders celebrated successful bond auctions in both Italy and Spain. However, the recent downtrend is certainly intact, and it is hard to think that it suddenly will give way based upon these two sales. The 1.30 level above is the start of significant resistance, and we are looking to sell weakness in that area if it appears. The candle does suggest some possible follow through over the next day or two, but we aren’t willing to won the Euro in general and there are simply far too many problems in that part of the world right now. We are selling rallies going forward.[by forex-download]

Learn more :
~~~>img37.imageshack.us/img37/1048/12jan14.pdf

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZmRlMjViOTMtNjAyMS00NzUxLWFjMjEtODk0ZjFlNzg5YzQ5&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

A t t a c h m e n t (1)^^^ORvvv(2)

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.dlcmsqbsh50f

 

[MDunleavy]

По всепй видимости восходящий тренд по фунту ослабевает. Следует ожидать нисходящего движения.
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GBP/USD initially fell for the session on Tuesday, but found its footing later on and rose overall. The resulting candle is shaped much like a hammer, and is sitting just above the 1.55 level. The area now looks as if it could be supportive, and the pair looks destined to march north to the 1.57 - 1.58 resistance level. The pair is still in a bearish market, so we are cautious about buying, but if we were to do it - we would buy on the break of the Tuesday range to the upside, and be willing to take profit at 1.57 or so. Or better trade is to sell from that area on weakness, and that is how we wish to play this pair.....selling between 1.57 and 1.58 on signs of weakness.[By ibtimes]

Learn more :
~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/12Jan24.html
^^^ORvvv
~~~>fforeman.byethost17.com/12Jan24.html
^^^ORvvv

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZGE3OWYxNTUtYmY5Mi00YWMzLWFkMmYtMDEwODRlMDI1N2Yw&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

A t t a c h m e n t (1)^^^ORvvv(2)

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.iyuqgm7e6wl4

 

[MDunleavy]

Пора начинать рассматривать возможности открытия коротких позиций по фунту. Восходящее движение ослабевает. Как минимум должна быть коррекция и довольно существенный откат.
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GBP/USD:The market has mostly been locked in some sideways chop over the past few weeks with any rallies very well capped ahead of 1.5800 and setbacks supported on dips below 1.5300. Until either side is convincingly broken, we would expect to see additional range trade. Therefore the preferred strategy is to look to buy range dips and sell by range highs. Only a weekly close above 1.5800 or below 1.5250 would give reason for outlook shift.[By dailyfx]

Learn more :

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZGE3OWYxNTUtYmY5Mi00YWMzLWFkMmYtMDEwODRlMDI1N2Yw&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

A t t a c h m e n t (1)^^^ORvvv(2)

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.iyuqgm7e6wl4

 

[MDunleavy]

Индекс доллара [The U.S. Dollar Index® is computed using a trade-weighted geometric average of six currencies. The six currencies and their trade weights are: Euro 57.6 % Japan/yen 13.6 % UK/pound 11.9 % Canada/dollar 9.1 % Sweden/krona 4.2 % Switzerland/franc 3.6 %].Конечно и коэффициенты устарели. Но тем не менее его анализ это некая смесь фундаментального и технического. Всё я склоняюсь к тому, что индекс, а следовательно и доллар будет расти. Последняя попытка преодолеть мощную линию поддержки не удалась.(Это видно по количеству данных в примечании к клетке 78.50 столбца 2012-02-07 17~00~00
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The dollar index DXY +0.13% , which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies traded at 78.739, from 78.582 in late North American trading on Thursday. “Markets are limping into the weekend... price action has had a risk off feel to it,” said Sue Trinh, strategist at RBC Capital Markets.[marketwatch 2012-02-10]

Learn more :
~~~>img850.imageshack.us/img850/3847/12feb10.pdf
^^^ORvvv
~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/12Feb08.html

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8NGU4NjkxNmMtY2VmNC00Y2FkLWE2YTYtZDY2ZjhmZmY1YjQ5&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

A t t a c h m e n t

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZWJmZDFjNTgtNGRmOC00MmI2LWEzODItZWE1NzNmOGQ5YWI1&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

 

[MDunleavy]

Индекс доллара сделал одну попытку роста, однако вернулся к отметке 79,00. Всё же рост индекса мне кажется неизбежным. И горизонтальный счёт мне представляется будет разрешён путём "выброса" вверх.
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The dollar has risen versus its major currency counterparts despite a late week downside correction; this came after the heavily weighted EUR/USD currency pair rallied almost 200 pips on Thursday along with cable and other majors...[by forex-fx-4x]

Learn more :
~~~>fforeman.byethost17.com/12Feb08.html
^^^ORvvv
~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/12Feb08.html

 

[MDunleavy]

По прежнему ожидание - выжидание.. Но всё же я предполагаю рост доллара...
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On DXY if we get a pullback next week toward 78.50-ish we'd have a very mini head and shoulders bottom that could then manage to get up through this downtrend line/resistance. If I am wrong on this I think it's that we cross the downtrend line, head toward the spike near 80 and then pullback to retest the downtrend line. Either way I continue to think the dollar moves higher for now.[By Real Money Pro]

Learn more :

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZWJmZDFjNTgtNGRmOC00MmI2LWEzODItZWE1NzNmOGQ5YWI1

^^^ORvvv

http://img252.imageshack.us/img252/3377/12mar04.pdf

 

[MDunleavy]

Скорее всего в течение этой недели новозеландский доллар не преодолеет линию сопротивления в районе 0.8240-0.8280 и продолжит горизонтальное движение в диапазоне 0.8280-08120
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NZD/USD: After trading well into overbought territory, daily studies are finally starting to roll over to warn of a near-term top and bearish reversal. The latest break and close below 0.8250 confirms outlook and should now accelerate declines towards next key support by 0.8000 further down. Rallies should now be well capped ahead of 0.8300.[Daily FX]

Learn more :

^^^ORvvv

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

A t t a c h m e n t

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY

 

[MDunleavy]

Евро сформировало классическую фигуру. Но реализация этой фигуры может оказаться под вопросом. Инетересно будет дождаться результата.
_https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-aCrGJkFSZUk/T29djgoHnCI/AAAAAAAAAQo/YG7TF1WQy-c/s982/1.png БОЛЬШАЯ КАРТИНКА

ПОДРОБНОСТИ:
~~~>img832.imageshack.us/img832/5033/12mar25.pdf
^^^ORvvv

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.4lkg9t4ejr1o

 

[MDunleavy]

Фунт, думаю, будет находиться в горизонтальном движении...
Over the last six months gains above 1.6000 have been limited and have attracted heavy selling. Sterling has fallen two big figures from this week’s high with the help of the QE3 postponement in the US. This weakness has caused the rate to fall back beneath the 100 day moving average at 1.5831. Strong US jobs data for March would undermine the rate further.
[by livetradingnews]

Learn more :
~~~>img38.imageshack.us/img38/4254/12apr09.pdf
^^^ORvvv

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YzZjYTc3NGEtZDYzOS00ZTQwLWFmNTQtOGI4NWEyZDhkODU0

^^^ORvvv
_https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

 

[MDunleavy]

АВстратлийский доллар в ближайшее время врядли выйдет из указанного диапазона.
AUDUSD is in consolidation mode between 1.0245 and 1.0452 after taking out falling trend line resistance set from late February. We do not see an actionable trade setup here for now and will wait for the pair to offer greater directional conviction to look for entry opportunities.27 April 2012 09:33 GMT [By dailyfx]

 

[MDunleavy]

--Скорее всего началась консолидация, а принимая во внимание сформировавшееся тройное дно можно предполагать, что возможен рост новозеландского доллара в район указанный стрелкой.
--The NZD/USD pair did very little at the end of the day on Friday. After first rising, and then falling – it never really went anywhere. The doji for the session shows how much trouble it is having as buyers try to prop the pair up at the 0.75 support zone.
--With the recent action, it looks as if the market is ready to fall again. The risks in Europe certainly have the markets in no mood to take on massive risk, so to think this pair would fall is hardly a stretch. On a daily close below the 0.75 level – we are sellers. Also, if we get a bounce, we are fading it on the first sign of weakness.[By fxempire]

 

[MDunleavy]

--USDCHF's upward movement from 0.9043 extends to as high as 0.9769. Further rise is still possible next week, and next target would be at 0.9900 area.
--Support is at 0.9500, only break below this level could signal completion of the uptrend.
--For long term analysis, USDCHF has formed a cycle bottom at 0.8931 on weekly chart. Further rise towards 1.0000 would likely be seen over next several weeks.[Written by ForexCycle]